Limite teórico para o ágio na bovinocultura de corte: viabilidade ligada ao tempo.

Abstract

The objective of this study was to find a theoretical limit in the percentage of premium for the purchase of animal replacement, this variable is characterized by the ratio between the price of the purchase and the sale of the arroba in a system. This is a parameter that accompany the exchange relationship, indicating the feasibility in the acquisition of the replacement of animals directed to beef cattle. The project was carried out from market research in which the price of animals of different categories was sought, the prices of the cattle fat, along with the collection of average daily gain data (GMD). And after these variables were found, the percentage of premium and discount was obtained. In the present study there were both results and the percentage that would be feasible for the production system in question was determined, and thus a viability limit was found, that is, an equilibrium point in which replacement is feasible at a certain time. The study was conducted from May to July 2022, from data surveys made available in livestock references such as CEPEA and SCOT Consulting and after research, information was organized and tabulated in an Excel spreadsheet. With the results obtained it can be observed that the period in which it was evaluated there was little variation in the prices of both at-the-rate and replacement prices, thus having a stability. In the months evaluated for both nellore and mixed-race animals at a given weight, there was discount, a favorable practice for producers. And another factor to be adopted is that with the parameters used there was premium placed at 20% of the theoretical limit established. For these conditions this limit was established since the producer would have time to offer support for the animal to settle the premium and theoretically obtain better negotiations.