Análise da Confiabilidade do Jogo Online Double na Plataforma Blaze: Uma Abordagem Estatística

Abstract

This study analyzes the reliability of the Double game on the Blaze platform, using a statistical approach to evaluate its integrity and the risks associated with this online gambling game. The increasing popularity of online gambling games, such as Double, highlights the need for a critical analysis of its reliability and impacts on users. The research was conducted through the analysis of quantitative and qualitative data from the platform. Initially, data from draws were simulated based on the expected multinomial distribution, and compared with real data obtained from the platform. The results showed that the draws follow a random pattern consistent with the probabilities disclosed by Blaze. Statistical tests, such as Pearson’s Chi-Square and Cox-Stuart trend test, corroborated the randomness of the draws, indicating no evidence of manipulation. In examining the bets, both the expected payout to players and the platform’s expected gain were calculated. The research revealed that the platform retains, on average, 20% of the wagered amount, returning 80% to players. Graphical analyses demonstrated consistent profits for the platform, highlighting substantial daily financial movements in the range of millions of reais. Additionally, it is important to note that Blaze was investigated by the Federal Police, raising questions about the company’s transparency and compliance with online gambling regulations. In conclusion, the study demonstrates that the Double game operates according to the announced probabilities and does not show significant deviations, suggesting a fair and random operation. However, the identified multimillion-dollar financial movement and the Federal Police investigation underscore the need for increased oversight and regulation. The findings may serve as a basis for the development of public policies and educational initiatives that promote responsible gambling.