Aplicação de métodos de previsão de demanda por séries temporais baseado em dados de compra em uma empresa do segmento fotográfico

Abstract

Procurement management has been increasingly used in business, as it is of great importance for strategic production planning, supporting organizations to remain active and competitive in the market. In this context, this paper presents the possible demand forecasting methods that can be used in the collected data, and after studies, or the most appropriate or which should be used in the data directed to a management products and services factory. of images in the Batatais - SP region, for managing the purchase of inputs. The analysis of these data will allow us to prioritize the primordial raw material and the excellence method for the implementation of this demand forecast, which in the presented situation demonstrated that the use of the Holt-Winters model was satisfactory. As next steps, the replication of the studies carried out for the other raw materials of the company was mapped.