Modelagem do preço de leite via regressão linear múltipla em uma cooperativa de produtores

Abstract

In Brazil, livestock has already been represented as a complementary activity on farms where the use of animals was basically traction on the mills. With its development over time, it was noted an expansion of this commercial activity with the conquest of new markets becoming one of the major industrial activities responsible for the Brazilian economic support. With this perspective, the objective of this work is to nd a multiple linear model to estimate the best representation for the current price of milk (in reais) of the cooperative members of COFRUL - Cooperativa Mista dos Produtores Rurais de Frutal LTDA, being located in the city of Frutal (MG), in the Triângulo Mineiro. In addition, the research aims to provide the company that receives milk with an estimate of the periods of major and minor in uence on the current price, observing the price paid within the state of Minas Gerais and total milk delivered (in liters/month). The months with the lowest prices paid to the producer are: October, January and December, and the months with the highest values are March and June. And the higher the total milk produced in liters/month, the higher the current price of milk paid to the producer in reais/liter.