Monitoramento e previsão do número de voos sob responsabilidade do controle de aproximação de Uberlândia

Abstract

The Brazilian Airspace, in particular the Terminal Control Area, where the conŕuence of aircraft ascending en route or descending for landing, is an area that requires cognitive capacity and knowledge of the rules on the part of the air traffic controller. When it comes to non radar control area, the demand increases. This work monitored the amount of air traffic under the responsibility of an Air Traffic Controller in the Terminal Control Area of Uberlândia and through time series, analyzed and veriőed the presence of trend, seasonality. Made the forecast, in order to study the use of radar surveillance , increasing the capacity of air traffic controllers in the region and, consequently, safety in the airspace in question. Two time series were analyzed and both the SARIMA model was the one that best őtted the series studied, with low forecast error and good accuracy.