Análise quantitativa dos bens comercializáveis, não comercializáveis e monitorados do IPCA

Abstract

The aim of this research was to analyze quantitatively the dynamics of Brazilian inflation in the period from January 2017 to June 2018 through data provided by IBGE. We used a qualitative analysis, initially obtained by means of comparative graphs of the period, with respect to the behavior of Brazilian inflation, measured according to the IPCA, in the three Central Bank categories (tradable, non-tradable goods and monitored goods). The quantitative analysis was done by analyzing the main components using the nine categories of consumption of the population (food and beverages, housing, articles of residence, clothing, transport, health and personal care, personal expenses, education and communication). The results of the analyzes are presented, with which it was possible to observe that the month of June 2018 was a month of great events and the categories of food and beverages, transportation, housing and communication can explain a good part of the variation of the IPCA. Finally, some factors influencing the observed oscillations are discussed.