Efeitos das transferências condicionais e incondicionais sobre a arrecadação tributária dos municípios brasileiros

Abstract

This work estimates the impacts of main conditional and unconditional transfers on Brazilian city tributary retraction. It will be analysed taxation and tributary data from 5.570 Brazilian cities between the years 2000 and 2012. Several econometric methods are used to overcome the endogeneity problem, mostly in virtue of underdeveloped regions retract less and receive a major amount of transfers: Ordinary Least Square (OLS); static panels with fix and random effect; and dynamic panels. The results show that Fundo de Participação dos Municípios (FPM) negatively impacts the taxation retraction. This effect is higher over the Imposto Predial e Territorial Urbano (IPTU) in comparison with Imposto Sobre Serviços de Qualquer Natureza (ISS), components of the larger portion of the city tributary tax retraction. On the other hand, the Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS) and Fundo de Manutenção e Desenvolvimento da Educação Básica e de Valorização dos Profissionais da Educação Básica (FUNDEB), positively impact. This signals that conditional transfers are more effective to encorage the taxation effort of Brazilian sites.